The Wildcats (12-5, 21-9) have put themselves back in the NCAA tournament picture by winning 8 of the past 10 games. Their only two losses coming to first place, Washington. They have one regular season game left against their rival, Arizona State, and then the Pac-12 tournament. The Wildcats are considered a bubble team right now. They were included in 54 % of expert brackets as of Monday night. The “experts” are basically saying that right now there is a coin flip chance that Arizona will be dancing in March. I think everyone can agree that Sundays game against the Sun Devils is a must-win; after that there is room for debate. I believe that if Arizona beats ASU and wins one game in the Pac-12 tournament that they will definitely be dancing. This scenario would put them at 13-5 in the Pac-12 and 23-10 overall, including a finish of 10 of 13. The Wildcats had the toughest non-conference schedule in the conference and are playing like a tournament team when it counts. In my opinion, the only scenarios that would put the Cats on the outside looking in is a loss at ASU on Sunday or an Oregon or Colorado run to the final of the Pac-12 tourney. Let’s take a look at some projections, including the Zona Zealots staff (as of Feb 27):
- My Projection: 11 seed
- Celebrity Pick: Ryan Recker (KVOA News 4 Sports): 10 seed
- Matt Schmidt (Lead Editor): 11 seed
- Nick Mueller (writer): 8 seed
- Jeff Beran (writer): 11 seed
- Pablo Ceron (writer): 10 seed
- Erik Ortiz (writer): 12 seed
- Vincent Mendoza (writer): 12 seed
Only 54% of national experts have Arizona making the tournament as of today. As you can see, 100% of the Zona Zealots staff thinks the Cats will be dancing. Do the local bloggers have more insight than the national scene or is it just a fan bias? Thoughts?
Thanks for reading!