Will the NCAA Committee cut Arizona some slack for slumping during the second half of the season? Will they commend us for beating six teams in the RPI top 50 and six teams in the RPI top 100? For losing all but two of our games to RPI top 50 teams? Will we get sent out West or some other region? Can we crack a #4 seed, or will it likely be a #5? Only the Committee can know, as Arizona nation awaits the answer at 3pm today.
But we can make some guesses. Think whatever you would like to think of him, but Joe Lunardi has the Cats as a #4 seed in the West Region (Gonzaga as a #1) against #13 New Mexico State. He also has UCLA, Oregon, California, and Colorado making the cut for a solid five team representation in the Pac-12.
A better predictor would be to take a loot at the Bracket Matrix, which provides your team’s average seed based on every major Bracketologists’ predictions. Believe it or not, but the Bracket Matrix suggests that Arizona is the final team to make the #4 seed cut (average seed of 4.45).
So what do I think? Arizona will be the final team to make it as a #4 seed or the first team to make it as a #5 seed. If the Committee awards the Wildcats with a #4 seed, they will play somewhere other than the West and face Akron, Valparaiso, Davidson or New Mexico State in the first round. If Arizona is given a #5 seed, the Committee will award them by placing them in the West region where they could play Belmont, Boise State, Middle Tennessee, La Salle, Bucknell or Mississippi.
Ok, you think that is too broad of a prediction? Here goes my shot in the dark: Arizona gets its #4 seed in the East Region where Louisville reigns as the first #1 seed.The Wildcats play #13 Akron, #5 Saint Louis, and #1 Louisville.